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RDN : “The African Front of the Russia-Ukraine War” and “Proliferation of Sabotage in Europe Since 2022”

La Revue Défense Nationale published two articles by Yan St-Pierre, discussing how the Battle of Tinzaouaten changed the Malian conflict and Ukrainian involvement in Africa, and discussing the proliferation of sabotage in Europe.

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Don’t believe the Hype: The Wagner Group’s Presence in Mali

Compounded by the tensions between Russia, Europe, and the United States as well as by France’s waning influence in the Sahel in West Africa, Wagner became an unexpected leverage asset for West African countries and another Russian sanctions’ target for the EU and the United States.

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Coup in Burkina Faso: Realpolitik and shifting geostrategic dynamics

Burkina Faso is now the 3rd Sahel country since 08/20 to experience a putsch, while another possible attempt was thwarted in Niger in 03/21. It is also the 4th coup in northern Africa in less than a year after Chad, Guinea, and Sudan. This suggests that the deterrents the international community uses to stop this trend are failing and that military officials in the region see little impediment to seizing power.

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The territorial expansion of violence in the Sahel: Strategic planning or adapting to changing economic needs?

It appears the security situation in Burkina Faso has become a good indicator of the expansion and tendencies of terrorist activities. In this post, Yan St-Pierre discusses the tactics behind a re-routing of smuggling routes in the Sahel region.